US intel sees India as rising economic powerhouse
Tuesday, 11/12/2012
http://epaper.dailypostindia.com/Details.aspx?id=57363&boxid=57129&uid=&dat=2012-12-11
US intelligence has predicted that in 2030, India could be the rising economic powerhouse of the world as China is seen today and that it will continue to consolidate its power advantage over Pakistan.
“In 2030 India could be the rising economic powerhouse that China is seen to be today. China’s current economic growth rate — 8 to 10 per cent — will probably be a distant memory by 2030,” said the fifth instalment of the ‘Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds’, of National Intelligence Council (NIC), released on Monday.
As the world’s largest economic power, China is expected to remain ahead of India, but the gap could begin to close by 2030. “India’s rate of economic growth is likely to rise while China’s slows,” said the report which is aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future.
According to the report, the total size of the Chinese working-age population will peak in 2016 and decline from 994 million to about 961 million in 2030. “In contrast, India’s working-age population is unlikely to peak until about 2050,” it said.
“Also of significance, India will most likely continue to consolidate its power advantage relative to Pakistan. “India’s economy is already nearly eight times as large as Pakistan’s; by 2030 that ratio could easily be more than 16-to-1,” the US report said.
